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Is it worth playing with surebets?

Games with surebets usually are not the best choices. Why wouldn’t you play vice-versa? In general in professional betting there is no place for the so called surebets.

Odds at the level of less than 1.50 are not paid attention to and the most often used ones are 1.9-2.1. But do we have a chance to win with surebets? According to the statistics we have small chances for success in bookmaker betting. Unfortunately while betting a person follows emotions and often when the stronger team plays the odds are being lowered not only by bookmakers but also by many players, what is little logical to us and at the very beginning we think that such a coupon does not have a chance for a win. And there is a trick here too, a person is afraid to lose and that is why prefers betting 4-5 or even more matches on one coupon with low odds rather than one with high. Is it true that surprises occur so seldom in order to be sure in the win? Unfortunately very often everything is vice-versa in particular when you play 1X2 on football.

Why is the surebet statistics so unthankful and does not bring any benefit to players?
You cannot approach surebets as Real Madrid, Juventus, MU or Bavaria – that they will 100% win. There are many aspects which will explode this myth. The most important ones except from statistics are:

  1. The team’s condition – irrespective of the class, a team can have its worst times (weakening of the condition) what impacts the results. Nobody can play at the highest level, one should remember that even weakening of two, three key players impacts the team heavily.
  2. Disregard of the opponent – despite coaches often pay attention to it, the players disregard this fact. Players always have confidence that they are better and can win without problems. But more often than not the game itself defines the match’s outcome.
  3. Good teams play in many tournaments – coaches often have to manage the players’ strengths wisely. The best clubs play not only in the national league but also in tournaments of the type the Champions League or the European League. Matches every 3 days can heavily impact the fatigue of even the most enduring players.
  4. Injuries – injuries got before and during the match always impact the run of the match.
  5. Cards – a red card received during the match has huge importance, besides yellow cards also impact the game of the more aggressive opponent.
  6. Gaming style – often the gaming style of a weaker team can mismatch the one of that better one. You can track the history of matches which shows entirely another gaming rather than you could have expected.
  7. Motivation of the weaker team – the weak usually dot not “struggle” in matches against a stronger team what often brings unexpected results.
  8. Quarrels in a team – in a team full of stars and different characters quarrels can occur frequently.
  9. We support the given team – irrespective of who the opponent is for us it is always a surebet…

In general there is no “golden mean” in sports betting and more likely than not we have to follow one’s own intuition, knowledge rather than the bookmaker odds. You should remember that a bookmaker also has people working who can as well sometimes follow their emotions.

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