PSG vs Chelsea

author: Betin submitted: 05 February 2015

Repeat from the previous Champions League, will the Parisians get revenge on Londoners?

All of us still remember matches among PSG and Chelsea in the previous edition of Champions League. At Parc des Princes PSG won 3:1 to lose against Chelsea 2:0 in revenge, goal for advance was scored in 87th minute by Demba Ba.
Currently bookmakers in the first match give equal chances for victory to both teams. For home team win bookmakers are paying 2,60, for draw 3,25 and for guests win 2,70. On the other hand the favourite for advance is Chelsea odds are at 1,50 and for PSG advance odds are at 2,62. A month ago I would probably bet on the English team. Parisians at this time were losing many goals against weaker teams (against Bastia 4 goals, against Evian 2 goals) now they remind me of Juventus from previous seasons. Thanks to tight defense they are winning every match and usually 1:0. Attacking without unnecessary risk.

Chelsea continues to be at a good level and it would be hard to say something bad about Jose Mourinho’s play. (I don’t take into consideration matches in Capital One or FA Cup where new squads often play or new solutions are tried out). The Blues, which knows how to score few goals and finish an opponent off, moreover they play solidly in defense. Similarly to bookmakers I think that Chelsea is a favourite although odds for advance at 1,50 is too low and not worth to play. In current form PSG is able to win against everyone and it does not make sense to risk money at 1,50. It is also hard to play on one of the teams in the first match. Each score is possible and if I were to choose I would bet on draw.

I am looking for sum of the goals to bet on this match. I bet on under 2,5 goal stake 2/10. Excellent defense of both teams in my opinion will be neutralized by offensive. Odds at 1,66 maybe is not one of the highest, however its acceptable. Moreover, I am thinking of playing on a draw in the first half (odds 2,05). It is little probable that one of the teams will go to front attacks right away and risk losing goal from counterattack.

Champions League 2014/15 season statistics PSG Chelsea
	Total	Home	Away	Total	Home	Away
Matches played	6	3	3	6	3	3
Wins	4	3	1	4	2	2
Draws	1	0	1	2	1	1
Losses	1	0	1	0	0	0
Goals for	10	7	3	17	10	7
Goals against	7	3	4	3	2	1
Avg.goals scored p/m	1.67	2.33	1.00	2.83	3.33	2.33
Avg.goals conceded p/m	1.17	1.00	1.33	0.50	0.67	0.33
Avg.time 1st goal scored	26m	14m	41m	23m	10m	36m
Avg.time 1st goal conceded	42m	39m	43m	54m	56m	50m