FC Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid match analysis

Draw is enough for Atletico players. Will Barcelona be able to surprise the team from Madrid.

Bookmakers see the home team as the front runner at Camp Nou, odds for the victory of home team are at 1.83, for a draw at 3.80 and at 4,20 for away team. Looking at the last matches of both teams odds for Barcelona are in my opinion understated. Blaugrana is completely without shape, it plays sluggishly and slow, it practically does not create any tight corners. Helplessness in the match against Elche does not bode victory in the upcoming match. Altetico as well is not as effective in attack as it was throughout the season but it plays well in defence. In my opinion the most logical outcome of this match would be 0:0. I will also bet +1 on Atletico (odds 1,46).

Direct matches ended in rather low scores (1:0, 1:1, 0:0, 0:0, 1:1), therefore I am surprised that the odds for above 2.5 are so high - at 1.98. For me it  is a  valuebet, which I will play at the stake of 3/10.

Last Barcelona’s matches at Camp Nou:

• Barcelona : Getafe 2:2
• Barcelona : Athletic Bilbao 2:1
• Barcelona : Betis 3:1
• Barcelona : Ceta Vigo 3:0
• Barcelona : Osasuna 7:0
• Barcelona : Almeria 4:1

Last Atletico Madrid’s away matches:

• Levante : Atletico 2:0
• Valencia : Atletico 0:1
• Getafe : Atletico 0:2
• Athletico Bilbao : Atletico 1:2
• Betis : Atletico 0:2
• Celta Vigo : Atletico 0:2

Recent direct matches:

• Atletico : Barcelona 1:0
• Barcelona : Atletico 1:1
• Atletico : Barcelona 0:0
• Barcelona : Atletico 0:0
• Atletico : Barcelona 1:1
• Atletico : Barcelona 1:2