Analysis: A.Falla - P.Kohlschreiber, odds and tips

Will the Colombian Alejandro Falla be able to surprise everyone? Everything is possible. The other option in this game looks more interesting...

The situation in the tournament:
Falla - Kohlschreiber is the 1 / 16 Australian Open match. The match will be played on January 20, and one of a Y. Lu - J.M del Potro pair will be the next opponent of the winner in the 1/8 match.

Players’ shape:
Alejandro Falla is still a huge surprise at Australian Open 2012. Very few experts gave the Colombian any chance in a duel against M. Fisher. While Falla played well and deservedly won the three sets (7:6, 6:3, 7:6). It should be recalled that the bookmakers paid 1:8 (8.00) for the victory of this left-handed player. Kohlschreiber had a difficult match against J. Monaco but he won five sets, and in the previous round he won over P. Riba, who failed to win a single set (6-0, 4-0).
We believe that it will be a match between very different tennis schools. Falla has a powerful serve, good return, but he does not play smoothly. He can play several amazing games and then lose a set. Being the German he is physically fit and capable of great endurance, hence he can make a huge difference to this fight.

History of the meetings:
Falla and Kohlschreiber have played against each other three times and the German won all the matches:
Wimbledon, (2006) - (6:4, 6:4, 3:6, 7:6)
Cincinnati, (2010) - (6:0, 1:6, 6:3)
Wien, (2010) - (6:0, 6:3)

Tips and justifications:
Alejandro Falla’s chances are growing at the hard-court. If the Colombian keeps the same level he set in the game against Fisher he can resist the favourite tennis player from Germany. The effectiveness of first Falla’s serve will be of great importance. The forecast in favour of the Colombian is risky, and an option to bet on the amount of games in the set might be more interesting. The bookmakers have not set the limits, but probably they will be about 41.5 games. Let’s outstrip them and bet on over.

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