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Extra Guide to Football Betting

Football guide
Team/Players factors
Manager/Club factors
Other factors

Football guideto top

Successful football betting is by no means an easy subject. The value that each team represents on paper is one thing. A number of other factors that decide which team will win the match is another thing. Football is unpredictable. Each of the 22 players on the field are psychologically-complex human beings prone to least expected errors and mistakes as well as sudden breath-taking feats and performances. On top of that, there are

referees who hard as they may try, or pretend to try, will always make mistakes that turn matches upside down. We have compiled a considerable list of factors that can aid you in making well-informed football betting decisions. Considering these elements and betting consistently, we believe is the key to enjoyable and profitable betting. Generally, there are four main categories team/players, manager, club and other factors.

Team/Players factorsto top

League table standings
The motivation to perform well increases when the team is either high or low in table standings, and especially towards the end of a season.

Top of the table – high motivation; these teams are fighting for: League winners title, qualification spots to European Champions League or UEFA Cup
Middle of the table – average motivation; generally these teams are too weak for European games, and too strong to be relegated
Bottom of the table – high motivation; these teams are fighting to avoid relegation zone

Season Schedule

Busy schedule vs club's priorities for the season vs the quality of substitute players
Schedule includes: league games / national cups / international cups / friendly matches / other tournaments

Home form

Wins/Draws/Losses ratio
Goals scored/ Goals conceded
Remember: when a team's home form is really bad, e.g a series of losses, players have an extra motivation to finish the unsuccessful period.

Away form

Wins/Draws/Losses ratio
Goals scored/ Goals conceded
Remember: when a team's away form is really bad, e.g a series of losses, players have an extra motivation to finish the unsuccessful period.

Defense form

Defensive players + Goalkeeper form – Number of goals conceded (considering the last 3, or 5 or more matches)

Midfield and Attack form

Number of goals scored, goal-scoring opportunities created and overall impression
(considering the last 3, 5 or more matches)

Individual players form

Last performances (considering last 3, 5 or more matches)
Weak performance after a long break, e.g. injuries
Involvement in international matches (friendlies, qualifiers, tournaments) positive effect – confidence boost / negative effect - overworked
Acclimatization (in case of new players)
Health problems
Personal affairs (positive /negative)

Other:

Chemistry between specific players
New quality players transfers
Termination of contracts with key players
Absence because of cards and suspensions
Absence because of injuries

Manager/Club factorsto top

Manager factors

Tactics for the specific match
Chemistry between manager and players
Managerial changeover tends to have positive mental impact, new fresh stimulus, for the players in the first match or a few matches
When the manager is not allowed to be present on the bench as a result of penalty, it may be discouraging for the players

Club factors

Change of Ownership (positive / negative)
Stock Market – when football club floats its shares on the stock market (positive)
Financial problems – players not receiving their salaries (negative)
Financial motivation – bonuses, extra money, increased salaries (positive)

Other factorsto top

Weather

moderate weather is best for optimal performance,
heavy rain or gloomy weather often means goal-less draws,
in stifling weather players get dehydrated quickly and in the second half tend to lack energy, exception: African players perform well in such conditions,
blinding sunlight may be a great problem for one of the goalkeepers on the field (even when he wears a cap)

Stadium Factors

new stadium, or recent re-modernization (positive)
temporary relocation (e.g. in the case of stadium's modernization) (negative)

Pitch/ Turf

good-quality, even surface predisposes teams playing technical football with lots of short passes;
uneven, rough surface or with lots of puddles/ patches of snow predisposes team playing less technical football (lots of long passes or long-distance shots)
other factors, e.g. artificial turf (manufactured from synthetic fibers resembling natural grass), an advantage of the home team, e.g Luzhniki Stadium in Moscow.

Supporters

when the stadium is filled to its capacity, the home team morale is high,
when no spectators are allowed to see the match, the home team morale is low.

Travel

fatigue can occur when the Away team travels a long distance to play the away match
in some lower leagues, teams travel and play the game in the same day which can contribute to poor performance
planes as well as top-class fully-equipped club buses are neutral means of transport, while mini-buses or hired buses can be a disadvantage.
quick adjusting to new time zone can be a problem

Media hype

media hype can have different effects on a team's mental psyche, depending on the circumstances:
when a team has nothing to lose and uses media hype to show off in front of wider public (positive)
media attention can heighten pressure on the team, especially when the stake is high (negative)

History - history of the clashes between the two teams can be telling but should not be overrated

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