Borussia Dortmund vs. Arsenal - match analysis

Another match between Borussia Dortmund and Arsenal London in the Champions League. Will the players of Klopp take revenge for the previous defeat?

Both teams are well presented in the national league matches. While the German team did not have a difficult opponent this weekend, Arsenal fought with the champion of England - Manchester City (2:2). We believe that the Gunners played well, although probably City fans may argue that they were lucky to even the score, and this is truth.

Borussia and Arsenal have met four times for the last 3 years and the result of this fight is unusually difficult to predict. In these 4 confrontations, the British won twice, Germans won once and one match ended in a draw. Odds, then offered by the sportsbooks were (3.60 draw 1: 1, 2.19 on Arsenal 2: 1, 2.75 on Dortmund 1: 2, 4.67 for Arsenal 0:1 respectively).

Now it seems that the potential of Borussia players is slightly lower as compared with the previous years, although given coaching skills of Klopp we should expect surprises. Dortmund is playing better and better in the Bundesliga, and the last two victories are a good forecast for the upcoming fight. Of course the potential of Arsenal is a little higher, but given the difficulty of away games we think that they will rely on a draw. Sportsbooks believe the home team to be a favorite with the odds of 2.10, draw 3.75, 3.60 away win. We believe that this game is very difficult to predict. Home field advantage and less tough fight on the weekend speak in favor of Borussia which can positively influence the course of the game, on the other hand we have Arsenal which won the last match at the Signal Iduna Park, and tied the previous match in this stadium, this shows that the Gunners play well in the away matches. We believe that the most equitable result is a draw.

In none of the last six matches between the teams more than 4 goals were scored (the average number per match - 2.33). Despite the fact that it would seem that both teams play more offensive football the results of matches do not reflect that. Odds for under 3.5 goals are at the level of 1.47. We can try 2/10 with these odds.
 

Borussia Dortmund's last matches:

•     Dortmund : Freiburg 3:1
•     Augsburg : Dortmund 2:3
•     Dortmund : Leverkusen 0:2
•     Stutt Kickers : Dortmund 1:4
•     Dortmund : Bayern Munich 2:0

Arsenal London's last matches:

•     Arsenal : Manchester City 2:2
•     Leicester : Arsenal 1:1
•     Arsenal : Besiktas 1:0
•     Everton : Arsenal 2:2
•     Besiktas : Arsenal 0:0
•     Arsenal : Crystal Palace 2:1

Direct matches:

•     Dortmund : Arsenal 0:1
•     Arsenal : Dortmund 1:2
•     Arsenal : Dortmund 2:1
•     Dortmund : Arsenal 1:1
•     Dortmund : Arsenal 2:1
•     Arsenal : Dortmund 2:0