Sevilla vs Valencia - match analysis

Two Spanish clubs are fighting for a place in European League. Will Valencia get any trophies this season?

Two teams which in rematches of the semi-finals played best will now face each other. Generally if the second leg would be played against FC Basel I would look differently at a balance of powers and a front runner for an advance. Currently, it is hard choose a finalist. If La Liga is considered - Sevilla team looks better (difference of 13 points and 3 more points in the table). However it was Valencia that proved to be better in direct matches this season. In my opinion both teams are front runners at their own fields. Sevilla showed class when it crashed Porto and Valencia after a fantastic game it caught up the losses from the first match against Basel winning 3-0 (score could have been a lot higher), moreover in extra time it has scored two points. Both teams know each other very well so surprises are rather not expected. Valencia surely has one advantage it does not have to play their best because they do not have a chance to qualify to European Cups and they will not drop out of the league as well that is why they may properly prepare for the home and away match. Sevilla is fighting for the Champions League and has to play for win during every game till the end of the tournament. I estimate the chance of reaching the finals at 50% (bookmaker give Sevilla slightly higher chances odds 1,80). In the first match I will bet on the home team. Stake 2/10, odds 1.0 in the second leg I will probably bet for Valencia.

Both teams prefer to play offensively which translates to statistics of goals scored. Average from La Liga and the European Cup point out to over 2.5 goals but in direct matches it’s just 2.42 goal/match.

• Average number of goals scored by Sevilla in the Europa Cup this season - 3,125 goal/match
• Average number of goals scored by Sevilla in the Spanish league this season - 3.3 goal/match
• Average number of goals scored by Valencia in the Europa Cup this season - 2.5 goals/match
• Average number of goals scored by Valencia in the Spanish league this season - 2.8 goal/match
• Average number of goals in the last twelve direct matches - 2.42 goal/match

Sevilla in European Cups during home games‭ – ‬season‭ ‬2013/2014

• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ ‬Porto‭ ‬4:1
• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ ‬Betis‭ ‬0:2
• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ ‬Maribor‭ ‬2:1
• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ ‬Estoril‭ ‬1:1
• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ ‬Liberec‭ ‬1:1
• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ ‬Freiburg‭ ‬2:0
• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ Slask Wroclaw‭ ‬4:1‭ (‬qualifications‭)
• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ ‬Mladost Podgorica‭ ‬3:0‭ (‬qualifications‭)

Valencia in European Cup during away games‭– ‬season‭ ‬2013/2014

• Basel‭ ‬:‭ ‬Valencia‭ ‬3:0
• Ludogorets‭ ‬:‭ ‬Valencia‭ ‬0:3
• Dynamo Kiev‭ ‬:‭ ‬Valencia‭ ‬0:2
• Swansea‭ ‬:‭ ‬Valencia‭ ‬0:1
• St.‭ ‬Gallen‭ ‬:‭ ‬Valencia‭ ‬2:3
• Kuban‭ ‬:‭ ‬Valencia‭ ‬0:2

Direct matches

• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ ‬Valencia‭ ‬0:0
• Valencia‭ ‬:‭ ‬Sevilla‭ ‬3:1
• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ ‬Valencia‭ ‬4:3
• Valencia‭ ‬:‭ ‬Sevilla‭ ‬2:0
• Valencia‭ ‬:‭ ‬Sevilla‭ ‬1:2
• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ ‬Valencia‭ ‬2:1
• Valencia‭ ‬:‭ ‬Sevilla‭ ‬1:0
• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ ‬Valencia‭ ‬1:0
• Valencia‭ ‬:‭ ‬Sevilla‭ ‬0:1
• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ ‬Valencia‭ ‬2:0
• Sevilla‭ ‬:‭ ‬Valencia‭ ‬2:1
• Valencia‭ ‬:‭ ‬Sevilla‭ ‬2:0