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Milan vs. Juventus match analysis

Milan vs. Juventus - Hit match of Serie A is coming on upcoming Saturday.

Both teams have started very well matches in Serie A. Milan has won in two previous rounds against Parma and Lazio, on the other hand Juventus has won against Udinese and Chievo. Bookmakers see La Signora Vecchia as a favourite odds at 2,20, odds for a tie 3,40 and odds for Milan’s wins at 3,50. By looking at direct matches, at at the quality of a play this season it is hard not to agree with the odds set by bookmakers. First of all direct matches show that each score is possible. For instance last season both teams won away matches, this shows that it is hard to obtain a good prediction. Good defence surely speak for Juventus as well as Tevez’s unblocking (in a match against Malmoe hi scored 2 points). On the other side there is Milan which had a lot more time to rest, moreover even though its defence does not play on the highest level they catch up with attack and a number of points scored. Of course Juve is not Parma and hosts in this match cannot play ultra offensively, however Milan is good in this element. If I were to bet in this match I would have bet for a tie. It is hard for me to choose a clear favourite of this match.

I took me a long time to decide what I should propose for players who like to bet on over/under. From one side there is Milan which losses a lot and scores a lot, from the other there is Juventus which once it shoots it often keeps until the end of a match an advantage of one goal. In my opinion because it is the beginning of a season football fans expect football promotion and good offensive play. I hope that players will accommodate to it and the final score will be rather high. It might be only a wish because by looking at the statistics of direct matches one can see that they have under tendency and league matches send two  conflicting signals. Juventus have not lost a point this season yet, Milan has scored as much as 8 points but has lost 5! I bet on over 2,5 with the lowest stake 1/10.

Seria A 2014/15 statistics                               AC Milan                                Juventus Turin
  Total Home Away Total Home Away
Matches played 2 1 1 2 1 1
Wins 2 1 1 2 1 1
Draws 0 0 0 0 0 0
Losses 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goals for 8 3 5 3 2 1
Goals against 5 1 4 0 0 0
Avg.goals scored p/m  4.00 3.00 5.00 1.50 2.00 1.00
Avg.goals conceded p/m 2.50 1.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Avg.time 1st goal scored 16m 7m 25m 8m 8m -
Avg.time 1st goal conceded 27m - 27m - - -

 

Recent Milan’s matches (current season)

  • Parma : Milan 4:5
  • Milan : Lazio 3:1

Recent Juventus’ matches (current season + Champions League)

  • Juventus : Malmo 2:0
  • Juventus : Udinese 2:0
  • Chievo : Juventus 0:1

Recent direct matches

  • Juventus : Milan 0:1
  • Milan : Juventus 0:2
  • Juventus : Milan 3:2
  • Milan : Juventus 0:0 (Milan won in penalty shoots  „Trofeo Tim" 2013)
  • Juventus : Milan 1:0

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