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Hit match in London. Will The Blues lose first points at Stamford Bridge?

10 consecutive wins of Jose Mourinho players on their own stadium. The Citizens have been  unbeatable during away matches since October 25th. Grand match is upcoming

Fantastic luck on own studium must finally come to an end. Will MC be able to gain even one point? Asking in a different way if not them who could gain a point on Chelsea’s stadium?

Bookmakers of course see home team as favourite odds at 1,91, draw at 3,60 and City’s win 3,75. In my opinion odds resemble shape of both teams. City in a match against Arsenal did not show anything even though they should have been prepared excellently by Pellegrini for that match. Looking at the recent matches I am able to bet on The Blues however situation in the table (5 points of advantage), they’ll be pressured to obtain good score in the match, they will want to win this match and eliminate advantage. Although Chelsea is playing on their own stadium in my opinion even draw would be a good result. Of course winning at this stage would enlarge the chance for Championship, however sometimes it is worth not to engaged as much in attack and not to miss a goal from counterattack. It is hard to expect open match from the first minute and the first half may look like the World Champions or Champions League Finals. I predict small amount of goal scoring situations and a draw throughout the first half. After a break I hope for a good match.

Although both teams have great power, odds for under 2,5 goal, odds 2,00 seems to be attractive. In the last 4 direct matches 3 goals were scored only once, besides there were matches under 2,5. In my opinion even better look under 3 (odds 1,65). On the market this tip is decreasing.

Premier League 2014/15 general statistics                        Chelsea                         Manchester City
  Total Home Away Total Home Away
Matches played 22 10 12 22 11 11
Wins 16 10 6 14 7 7
Draws 4 0 4 5 2 3
Losses 2 0 2 3 2 1
Goals for 51 24 27 45 20 25
Goals against 19 3 16 22 11 11
Avg.goals scored p/m  2.32 2.40

2.25

2.05 1.82 2.27
Avg.goals conceded p/m 0.86 0.30 1.33 1.00 1.00 1.00
Avg.time 1st goal scored 28m 28m 28m 41m 41m 41m
Avg.time 1st goal conceded 53m 74m 48m 43m 41m 45m

Recent Chelsea matches on their own stadium:

  • Chelsea : Newcastle 2:0
  • Chelsea : West Ham 2:0
  • Chelsea : Hull City 2:0
  • Chelsea : Tottenham 3:0
  • Chelsea : West Brom 2:0
  • Chelsea : QPR 2:1

Recent away matches of Manchester City:

  • Everton : Manchester City 1:1
  • West Brom : Manchester City 1:3
  • Leicester : Manchester City 0:1
  • Sunderland : Manchester City 1:4
  • Southampton : Manchester City 0:3
  • QPR : Manchester City 2:2

Direct Matches - scores and how much bookmakers paid for winning odds:

  • Manchester City : Chelsea 1:1                                           odds 3,32
  • Manchester City : Chelsea 2:0                                           odds 2,24
  • Manchester City : Chelsea 0:1                                           odds 3,80
  • Chelsea : Manchester City 2:1                                           odds 2,25
  • Chelsea : Manchester City 3:5 (Club friendly 2013)             odds 2,59
  • Chelsea : Manchester City 3:4 (Club friendly 2013)             odds 2,45

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