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Gran Derbi - more than a match…

Two hundred sixty first El Clasico upcoming Sunday!

Grand Derbi is the most important league classic in Europe. It evokes the biggest attention of football fans around the world. Which team has greater chance to win? How bookmakers see it? For the victory of hosts bookmakers pay 1,73 for a draw 4,20 and for guests’ victory 4,00. In my opinion Real’s shape is not very good and odds resemble it well. Barcelona in matches at Camp Nou plays very well although they lost twice against Malaga and Celcie Vigo ( both matches lost 0:1). Besides that they won 11 home matches scoring altogether 46 goals, which up to now, is the best result in La Liga this season. Killing trio: Messi, Neymar, Suarez play amazingly and are able to go over any defense in the world - and here Real might have a problem. Although this year defense of Galacticos has looked rather well, recently they are making many errors. I am not thinking about revenge match against Schalke, lost 3:4, also lost in Bilbao or match in Madrid’s derby in which they lost 4:0 against Atletico.

Unfortunately recently Real does not play well in attack. It seemed that there would be many goals scored against Levante, however it ended with 2:0 only, they couldn’t score any goal against Bilbao, similarly with Atletico. Ronaldo is in weak shape and it might be of a key importance in a match. The only thing which may work for an advantage of the guests is mainly the match of Barcelona against Manchester City upcoming Wednesday. Although it seems that The Citizens have little chance to advance I don’t believe that they will let go this match and it will not be so easy. Blaugrana. In this time Real may calmly prepare for a match which at this level of tournament might be a handicap for the guests. Concluding, comparing the shape of both teams I bet on the victory of Barcelona stake 2/10.

In addition I am expecting a crazy match with a large number of goals. I bet on over 3,50, odds 2,00 stake 1/10.

Primera Division 2014/15 general statistics                        Barcelona                        Real Madrid
  Total Home Away Total Home Away
Matches played 27 13 14 27 13 14
Wins 21 11 10 21 11 10
Draws 2 0 2 1 1 0
Losses 4 2 2 5 1 4
Goals for 78 46 32 77 38 39
Goals against 16 8 8 24 8 16
Avg.goals scored p/m  2.89 3.54

2.29

2.85 2.92 2.79
Avg.goals conceded p/m 0.59 0.62 0.57 0.89 0.62 1.14
Avg.time 1st goal scored 35m 32m 39m 23m 21m 26m
Avg.time 1st goal conceded 42m 40m 46m 35m 31m 38m

Grand Derbi statistics:

  • Number of played matches: 260
  • Number of matches won by Barcelona: 107
  • Number of matches won by Real: 95
  • Number of matches which ended with a draw: 58
  • Number of points scored by Barcelona: 451
  • Number of points scored by Real: 426

Recent Barcelona’s matches on their own stadium:

  • Barcelona : Rayo Vallecano 6:1
  • Barcelona : Malaga 0:1
  • Barcelona : Levante 5:0
  • Barcelona : Villareal 3:2
  • Barcelona : Atletico Madrid 3:1
  • Barcelona : Cordoba 5:0

Recent Real Madrid’s away matches:

  • Athletic Bilbao : Real Madrid 1:0
  • Elche : Real Madrid 0:2
  • Atletico Madrid : Real Madrid 4:0
  • Cordoba : Real Madrid 1:2
  • Getafe : Real Madrid 0:3
  • Atletico Madrid : Real Madrid 2:0

Direct matches:

  • Real Madrid : Barcelona 3:1                2,50
  • Barcelona : Real Madrid 1:2                2,80
  • Real Madrid : Barcelona 3:4                3,40
  • Barcelona : Real Madrid 2:1                1,70
  • Real Madrid : Barcelona 2:1                3,05
  • Barcelona : Real Madrid 1:3                4,60

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