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Europa Cup Final. Dnipro-Sevilla match analysis

Will Sevilla repeat its success from the previous season?

Upcoming Wednesday at National Stadium in Warsaw Europa Cup Finals are going to take place. Match of a double value. From one side winning Cup and from another even more important aspect, direct advance to Champions League in the next season. Who is the favourite according to bookmakers? In their opinion it is team from Spain. For win bookmakers are paying 1,60 for draw 4,00 and for Dnipro’s win 6,50. Truly Sevilla is in excellent shape this season. In matches contra Barcelona and Real they seemed to be equal opponent. There wasn’t too much defence and blind out shooting. All of us saw what they did in the semi-final against Fiorentina. Two easy wins (5 scored goals, none lost). Surely a big surprise would be not winning the title, however the odds for Sevilla during last two weeks have grown… Few days ago they were paying around 1,40, now 1,60. Players have realized that it is FInal (one match) everything is possible… Dnipro has already played underdog against Napoli. Than for advance of the Ukrainian 4,20 was paid and and not many gave them chances for advance.

Big plus of Dnipro is their defense. In two legged tie against Napoli they lost only one goal, in two legged tie against Brugge they did not lose any goal, in two matches against Ajax in normal time they lost only one goal. In conclusion, in 6 recent matches in Europa Cup against very good opponents they lost only 2 goals! It was a key to reach the final - great defensive. Will this be enough for goal-tight Sevilla? In my opinion it might be hard, the Spanish score regularly, practically while playing against every team, and often more than one goal. For Dnipro a problem is scoring goals, considering that the Spanish will score a goal, there might be some problem with regaining them.

In this match I bet on under 2,5 goal. It is final and it is hard to expect that one team will attack immediately. Besides there is effective defensive of Dnipro and weak attack. Odds on over 2,5 goal 1,73 stake 2/10. In this season I was betting often on Sevilla, which paid off. Now, when the odds have rise to 1,60 I still bet on the Spanish, stake 3/10.

Recent Dnipro matches:

  • Dnipro : Shakhtar 3:2
  • Shakhtar : Dnipro 1:1
  • Dynamo Kiev : Dnipro 1:0
  • Dnipro : Napoli 1:0
  • Dnipro : Zorya 0:2
  • Napoli : Dnipro 1:1

Recent Sevilla matches:

  • Malaga : Sevilla 2:3
  • Sevilla : Almeria 2:1
  • Fiorentina : Sevilla 0:2
  • Celta Vigo : Sevilla 1:1
  • Sevilla : Fiorentina 3:0
  • Sevilla : Real Madrid 2:3

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