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Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund match analysis

Borussia has a patent for Bayern.However is it able to jeopardise Germany’s champions in their current shape?

If we take a look at the statistics of the direct matches it seems that guest team has a chance to win and moreover to get obtain a good score.When Borussia was winning against Bayern it was in much better shape which is as well proved by their place in a table. Currently BVB is on the 15th place, and this season from 9 played matches it lost 6 times. Looking at the potential of this team it is unthinkable for me it is like “Science Fiction”. Something is off with this team and probably even Jurgen Klopp does not now what.

Bookmakers do not give much chances to the guest in a fight between Germany’s Champions. For home team bookmakers’ odds are at 1.44, for a draw 4.5 and for away team at 6.50. In my opinion odds are adequate to a current situation. Although Borussia plays very well in Champions League it presented itself well in a fight against St. Pauli in German Cup I think that at Allianz Arena in Munich it will lose fifth time in a row. Even though the odds are low and I prefer a minimum of 1,60 to play singles, I think that combo bet is a good solution. I bet on asian handicap in this match -1 Bayern with the odds 1,82, which in this season scored 21 goals and lost only 2 points. Looking objectively each Bayern formation looks better than BVB and it is hard to find even one element which would be a key importance and which would help the away team to obtain a good score.

 

Bundesliga 2014/15 general statistics                            Bayern Munich                        Borussia Dortmund
  Total Home Away Total Home Away
Matches played 9 5 4 9 5 4
Wins 6 5 1 2 1 1
Draws 3 0 3 1 1 0
Losses 0 0 0 6 3 3
Goals for 21 18 3 10 5 5
Goals against 2 1 1 15 7 8
Avg.goals scored p/m  2.33 3.60

0.75

1.11 1.00 1.25
Avg.goals conceded p/m 0.22 0.20 0.25 1.67 1.40 2.00
Avg.time 1st goal scored 18m 19m 14m 38m 53m 28m
Avg.time 1st goal conceded 57m 52m 62m 48m 47m 49m

 

Recent Bayern’s home matches:

  • Bayern : Werder 6:0
  • Bayern : Hannover 4:0
  • Bayern : Paderborn 4:0
  • Bayern : VfB Stuttgart 2:0
  • Bayern : Wolfsburg 2:1

Recent Borussia’s away matches:

  • Koln : Borussia 2:1
  • Schalke : Borussia 2:1
  • Mainz : Borussia 2:0
  • Augsburg : Borussia 2:3

Direct matches and, amounts paid by bookmakers for winning odds:

  • Dortmund : Bayern 2:0 (Super Cup)                                odds: 3,00
  • Dortmund : Bayern 0:2 (extra time – DFB Pokal)             odds: 3,60
  • Bayern : Dortmund 0:3                                                  odds: 6,60
  • Dortmund : Bayern 0:3                                                  odds: 2,15
  • Dortmund : Bayern 4:2 (Super Cup 2013)                        odds: 3,70
  • Dortmund : Bayern 1:2 (Champions League)                    odds: 1,75

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