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Bayer Leverkusen vs. Zenit Saint Petersburg match analysis

Will Zenit, unbeatable since July, keep up winning streak?

Bayer plays unexpectedly this season. From one side it may play a very good match such as one against Benfica but then on the other it may lose a lot of points for instance in a match against Werder 3:3 or recently against Paderborn where guests managed to score a point to get 2:1 and Bayer evened up in the last minute. A lot more stable and predictable are Russians from last 15 matches they won 13 and draw 2), they play good, efficient football and what is important in the context of this match they do not lose many goals. Admittedly in match against Monaco they disappointed me because they should have won on their own field, however French players played better than I have expected and recently in a league match against PSG (draw 1:1) they were even better than Parisian which proves that Zenit’s score should not be treated as weak.

Bookmakers see home team as a front runner, odds at 1,80, for a draw 3,75 and for away win 4,40. In my opinion Pharmacists are not such a big favourite and may have some problems with winning. In this match Zenit is capable of getting a draw, maybe even winning. I bet on X2 with a stake 2/10 odds at 2,05 and for asian handicap +1 stake 4/10 odds at 1,575.

Making bets on matches with Germany on under 2.5 is a “suicide”. In previous season there were matches where for few rounds there was no goalless result. This season it is different and there is more to a match than the beauty of football - a good final result. An average of goals in Bundesliga dropped drastically. Because Zenit loses small amount of points (only 5 in the last 13 matches) odds at 1,725 on asian hnadicap under 2,5,3 goals is worth considering in my opinion. I bet on it with a take 3/10.

2014/15 season statistics                           Bayer Leverkusen                          Zenit Petersburg
Bundesliga and Premier Liga's data Total Home Away Total Home Away
Ranking 6     1    
Matches played 8 4 4 10 5 5
Wins 3 2 1 8 4 4
Draws 4 2 2 2 1 1
Losses 1 0 1 0 0 0
Goals for 16 10 6 28 14 14
Goals against 14 7 7 6 3 3
Avg.goals scored p/m 2.00 2.50 1.50 2.80 2.80 2.80
Avg.goals conceded p/m 1.75 1.75 1.75 0.60 0.60 0.60
Avg.time 1st goal scored 25m 35m 11m 25m 27m 24m
Avg.time 1st goal conceded 38m 41m 32m 36m 52m 21m

Recent Bayer Leverkusen’s matches:

  • Bayer : Paderborn 2:2
  • Bayer : Benfica 3:1
  • Freiburg : Bayer 0:0
  • Bayer : Augsburg 1:0
  • Wolfsburg : Bayer 4:1
  • Monaco : Bayer 1:0

Recent Zenit’s matches:

  • Zenit : Monaco 0:0
  • Zenit : Spartak 0:0
  • Anzhi : Zenit 1:2
  • Rostov : Zenit 0:5
  • Benfica : Zenit 0:2

Direct matches:

  • Zenit : Bayer 0:1
  • Bayer : Zenit 1:4

 

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