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Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund match analysis

Will Borussia ensure second place in the league? Bayer is fighting for a place awarded with qualification for the Champions League.

A very important match, mainly for the home team. Bayer currently is on the fourth place in the league table but only with one point advantage over Wolfsburg. Only three rounds are left until the end and potential loss of points in the match against Dortmund can lead to loss of fourth place. Borussia  after Schalke’s lost in the last round against Stuttagart is in a very good situation and only a disaster can change take away the second place from Klopp’s team.

Bookmakers see away team as their front runner although declines in the odds of home team are seen. In my opinion odds for Bayer are too high and despite recent fantastic form I estimate the chance of Borussia’s victory to 50%. Home tam lately plays a lot better which is proved by last two away wins one away win against Nuremberg 4:1 and one home win against Herha Berlin 2:1. It is very hard to predict the final result of this match. I am willing to play on the Asian handicap +0.5 for Leverkusen odds 1,65, odds 2/10 because of the height of odds.

Shooting shape of both teams suggests rather a high score. Dortmund regularly since a match against Real Madrid scores a minimum of 3 goals. In the matches with Bayer a few points are scores as well. An average of a whole season also speaks for betting on over. I bet on the Asian handicap +2,75 with the odds 1,75.

  • Average number of goals scored in matches involving Bayer Leverkusen in the German league this season - 3.00 goal/match
  • Average number of goals scored in matches involving Borussia Dortmund in the German league this season - 3.4 goal/match

Last home matches of Bayer Leverkusen:

  • Bayer‭ ‬:‭ ‬Hertha Berlin‭ ‬2:1
  • Bayer‭ ‬:‭ ‬Braunschweig‭ ‬1:1
  • Bayer‭ ‬:‭ ‬Hoffenheim‭ ‬2:3
  • Bayer‭ ‬:‭ ‬Mainz‭ ‬0:1
  • Bayer‭ ‬:‭ ‬Schalke‭ ‬1:2
  • Bayer‭ ‬:‭ ‬VfB Stuttgart‭ ‬2:1

Last away matches of Borussia:

  • Bayern Munich‭ ‬:‭ ‬Dortmund‭ ‬0:3
  • VfB Stuttgart‭ ‬:‭ ‬Dortmund‭ ‬2:3
  • Hannover‭ ‬:‭ ‬Dortmund‭ ‬0:3
  • Freiburg‭ ‬:‭ ‬Dortmund‭ ‬0:1
  • Hamburger‭ ‬:‭ ‬Dortmund‭ ‬3:0
  • Werder‭ ‬:‭ ‬Dortmund‭ ‬1:5

Direct matches:

  • Dortmund‭ ‬:‭ ‬Bayer‭ ‬0:1
  • Bayer‭ ‬:‭ ‬Dortmund‭ ‬2:3
  • Dortmund‭ ‬:‭ ‬Bayer‭ ‬3:0
  • Dortmund‭ ‬:‭ ‬Bayer‭ ‬1:0
  • Bayer‭ ‬:‭ ‬Dortmund‭ ‬0:0
  • Bayer‭ ‬:‭ ‬Dortmund‭ ‬1:3

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