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Barcelona vs. PSG match analysis

Match for the first place in the group. Will Blaugrana get revenge on Parisians?

First match at Parc des Princes won home team 3:2. It has to be admitted that even without Ibrahimovic they played very well. Now Barcelona wants to get revenge, and only win gives it first place in a group and avoid among others Bayern or Chelsea in KnockOut Phase. Is it going to be simple? Bookmakers pay 1,50 for Blaugrana’s win, 4,33 for a draw and 6,00 for PSG’s win.

Looking at the matches up to now among this teams the outcome may vary and in my opinion the odds for Barcelona at 1,50 is low and not worth playing. From six recent direct matches as much as 4 ended in a draw and two with the win of PSG (none of them won by Barcelona!). Moreover, last time that PSG lost  wast on Maj 7th in a league match (not counting one friendly match while preparing for season). Catalans were struggling in each match against PSG and the odds are only at 1,50. Of course I would not say that Barcelona is not a favourite  on its own stadium. Only a mad man could say a different thing, however an adequate odds in my opinion would be at 1,75-1,80. That is why I see here a delicate value and I think to play on Asian handicap at +1,25 on PSG with the odds 1,73 stake 2/10.

Parc des Princes's match statistics
3 Goals 2
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Corner Kicks 8
12 Goals Attempts 14
5 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 7
8 Fouls 9
3 Yellow Cards 1

Recent Barcelona's matches:

  • Valencia : Barcelona 0:1
  • APOEL : Barcelona 0:4
  • Barcelona : Sevilla 5:1
  • Almeria : Barcelona 1:2
  • Ajax : Barcelona 0:2
  • Barcelona : Celta Vigo 0:1

Recent PSG’s matches:

  • PSG : Nice 1:0
  • PSG : Ajax 3:1
  • Metz : PSG 2:3
  • PSG : Marseille 2:0
  • PSG : APOEL 1:0
  • Lorient : PSG 1:2

Direct matches:

  • PSG : Barcelona 3:2
  • Barcelona : PSG 1:1
  • PSG : Barcelona 2:2
  • PSG : Barcelona 2:2 (penalty shots 1:4 club friendly 2012)
  • PSG : Barcelona 2:1
  • Barcelona : PSG 1:1

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