Trump or Clinton? Who is the favorite in the presidential race?

On November 8, we will find out who will become the 45th president of the United States. Only two candidates remain in the fight for the White House: promoted from the Democrats party Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump from the Republicans. Bookmakers have no doubts who will win the elections.

Bookmakers do not leave a chance for Trump
At the moment the definite favorite of bookmakers is the 69 year old former First lady, wife of former president Bill Clinton – Hillary. Her counter candidate, the 70 year old American businessman and politician, well-known for shocking speeches, Donald Trump is not given big chances. How right are they?

It is still much time until the end of the pre-election campaign and much can happen but if the elections took place today Hillary would have a 7% advantage over her opponent (polls of Reuters/Ipsos for 17.08.2016). But the real defeat Trump suffers in his home state where he was born and spent virtually whole life. If citizens of the New York state decided the choice of the candidate then the advantage of the democratic candidate would make 30% (57%-27%). Such situation is unfavorable for the multi-millionaire, but to some extent he is guilty for it himself.

From the very beginning of the pre-election campaign his speeches, mildly speaking, have been shocking. He names the Mexicans criminals and abusers and wants to build a wall along the Mexican boarder, for which the Mexicans themselves should pay. He announces that the United States would leave the World trade organization and will try to rehabilitate relations with Russia. He got under critics from the democrats and republicans for speeches abusing veteran of the Vietnam War, the high-powered senator John McCain, for mockeries over parents of the Muslim army officer of USA, who was killed in Iraq, and for claims that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are the creators of the so-called Islamic state.

Hillary Clinton the first woman-president in the history of the United States?
She was the First Lady and the State secretary of USA and is the most predicted candidate. Her speeches are usually neutral and diplomatic, what does not mean that they lack charisma. Hillary Clinton has strong and decisive thoughts for the majority of topics and can defend own beliefs. Against the slightly coarse Trump, she looks as a more experienced politician who is hard to be driven out of balance. She wants to run a reform on tax laws in USA and introduce free education in state universities, financed by the state. Answering the question of the foreign policy she does not share the looks of Donald Trump and claims that America will not leave its allies.

The thing that differs the two candidates is the way of expression of one’s thoughts. Assured in his greatness Trump most often starts his phrases with the word “I”, in her turn, the experienced politician prefers to say “we”. “We can…”, “we will do…” and so on. It is hard not to find an analogy with speeches of the actual president Barack Obama and his well-known “Yes, we can”.
 

Betting odds on 22.08.2016

Bovada bookmaker also offers bets on the presidential elections, and two types of bets are available: the win of the Democratic or the Republican party, what mainly results in the same, since a win of a party means the win of its leader.

Betting odds on 22.08.2016

Who will win in the final straight race?
As we have already written earlier, it is still much time until the elections and much can happen. You should remember the situation, which we wrote about several months ago here. Before the referendum of Great Britain’s membership in the EU, the bookmakers’ odds made 4/25 for continuance of the euro integration, and the odds for Brexit made 7/1. We all remember what the British actually decided.

The same now, we do not advise you to take away chances from candidates beforehand, just track the campaign attentively. We await several more interesting debate, mutual accusations and changes in surveys. Simultaneously we want to mark, that our aim is NOT to back up either of the candidates but just to present our readers the situation of the presidential campaign, which is very important not just for USA, but also for the whole world. We will return to this article.