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Value bet

Many experts of the gambling industry, namely of its sector of bookmaker bets, claim that the notion described further is one of the most important keys

to comprehension of the whole mechanism of “sports betting”. What notion are we talking about? Of course about bet of the type “Value”, known as Valuebet…

What is Valuebet? Definition
Valuebet in practice…
Example 1
Example 2
Where should Valuebet be searched for?
Psychological aspect in a game with Valuebet…

What is Valuebet? Definitionto top

The notion Valuebet is created with the help of connection of two words Value and Bet. First of them in literal translation

means cost and second – bet. By logically combining these words we get the notion Valuebet – a bet which has its cost.

Valuebet in practice…to top

Talking about Valuebet in general it is a bet with an expected positive cost. But for real this claim is about human mistakes. Why? In one part of an article called Advice for beginner players we wrote: “Don’t be afraid to betting with high odds”. A claim from the same article: “Remember that in reality you do not play against fate or a concrete team but only against bookmakers’ mistakes” will be additional.
Second part of this offer is only a quintessence of the whole notion of Valuebet. Sometimes in sports betting we have to deal with a situation when a bookmaker makes a mistake in calculations of odds for the given match and one of them,

in our opinion, is overrated comparing to the objective calculation of the match forecast. Curiously enough such a situation can be met quite often. Then we can talk about that the given bet/odds has value. In other words we deal with Valuebet in case of a situation when we estimate whether the given event has bigger chances for success than the bookmaker offers, more precisely the put by him odds.

A little bit of math or when does a bet have value?
The formula: p*o>1, should be used here. Some calculations should be done to find out whether the chosen odds will give us our Value. In the presented formula p means success probability and o -odds

Example 1to top

An example from life. Using the section “Free forecasts” placed on our site we have checked the archive and present the effects of this check. We placed a meeting of Lecce and Udineze… In our analysis we claimed that odds for Udineze are a bit overrated. We put this event into our formula and can see whether it meets the demands to be qualified to Valuebet or not.

p*o>1
40% (we use bet 4/10) * 2,40 (odds for Udineze) > 1
0,4 * 2,40 > 1
0,96 > 1
The given statement or better to say forecast doesn’t meet Valuebet’s demands.

Example 2to top

The next example from our free forecasts archive. This time we deal with a basketball match Charleroi – Nymburk. The link to analyzing of this match and its odds you can find here… According to our analysis chances for the guests’ victory are higher than the bookmaker offers. We use the formula.

p*o>1
40% (we use bet 4/10) * 2,85 (odds for Nymburk) > 1
0,4 * 2,85 > 1
1,14 > 1

In this example the main demand, as it can be seen, is fulfilled by 100%, this is why this event is a classical Valuebet.

Where should Valuebet be searched for and to what attention should be paid?to top

A game with Valuebet is connected with dedication of some time, especially for beginner players. Comparisons of different types of odds, even those which are industriously worked on at our site, can help them in this. A good source is internet forums or portals with free forecasts.
Experienced players don’t have much trouble with Valuebet. After several years of gaming they can immediately define odds which Valuebet has, especially those which specialize in one sporting discipline and constantly follow all events. You can play in several ways with Valeubet.
1.Search of very high odds immediately after their first appearance in the offer of the given bookmaker. This is likely the most classical example of Valuebet usage. If a player is at this level then he can see the obvious mistake of a bookmaker and then nothing

is on his way to earning not only with the help of bookmaker bets but also at betting exchange. It is not a secret that players who reached this level of knowledge are the best traders at the betting exchange.
2.A game with overrated in our opinion odds, formed by mistaken bookmaker’s calculations (we think that the placed by the bookmaker odds is very high). In such case Valuebet can be even with odds 1,40 for some players. Why? We have a match with Barcelona and Bate Borisov, online bookmakers place 1,20 odds and one of them gives 1,40, after what we think that odds is overrated…
3.Other bookmakers prefer games with a condition that odds has to be over 2,00. This is a safer kind of a game with Valuebet since such odds win more often and that is why you have to maintain your effectiveness over level 2,00 to win.

Psychological aspect in a game with Valuebet…to top

Players who place only high odds or such which have Value, have to pay attention to every possibility, even to series of defeats, which means that we have to be ready for a game with a huge capital. There are many not guessed events in such gaming strategy, but less effectiveness for predicting of bets will be needed to generate income.

A long series of defeats in case of a game with odds with Value can appear to be faster than when players play with lower odds. We will end with the often used among professional players sequence “it is better to lose with 3,50 than to reach a fool with 1,10”. We hope that this article will throw a new light on mutual sporting bets.

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